George Packer in The New Yorker Writes “A Democratic Opposition” (Togo)
A DEMOCRATIC OPPOSITION
By George Packer (Togo 1982-83)
Four decades ago, Watergate revealed the potential of the modern Presidency for abuse of power on a vast scale. It also showed that a strong democracy can overcome even the worst illness ravaging its body. When Richard Nixon used the instruments of government to destroy political opponents, hide financial misdoings, and deceive the public about the Vietnam War, he very nearly got away with it. What stopped his crime spree was democratic institutions: the press, which pursued the story from the original break-in all the way to the Oval Office; the courts, which exposed the extent of criminality and later ruled impartially against Nixon’s claims of executive privilege; and Congress, which held revelatory hearings, and whose House Judiciary Committee voted on a bipartisan basis to impeach the President. In crucial agencies of Nixon’s own Administration, including the F.B.I. (whose deputy director, Mark Felt, turned out to be Deep Throat, the Washington Post’s key source), officials fought the infection from inside. None of these institutions could have functioned without the vitalizing power of public opinion. Within months of reëlecting Nixon by the largest margin in history, Americans began to gather around the consensus that their President was a crook who had to go.
President Donald Trump should be given every chance to break his campaign promise to govern as an autocrat. But, until now, no one had ever won the office by pledging to ignore the rule of law and to jail his opponent. Trump has the temperament of a leader who doesn’t distinguish between his private desires and demons and the public interest. If he’s true to his word, he’ll ignore the Constitution, by imposing a religious test on immigrants and citizens alike. He’ll go after his critics in the press, with or without the benefit of libel law. He’ll force those below him in the chain of command to violate the code of military justice, by torturing terrorist suspects and killing their next of kin. He’ll turn federal prosecutors, agents, even judges if he can, into personal tools of grievance and revenge.
All the pieces are in place for the abuse of power, and it could happen quickly. There will be precious few checks on President Trump. His party, unlike Nixon’s, will control the legislative as well as the executive branch, along with two-thirds of governorships and statehouses. Trump’s advisers, such as Newt Gingrich, are already vowing to go after the federal employees’ union, and breaking it would give the President sweeping power to bend the bureaucracy to his will and whim. The Supreme Court will soon have a conservative majority. Although some federal courts will block flagrant violations of constitutional rights, Congress could try to impeach the most independent-minded judges, and Trump could replace them with loyalists.
But, beyond these partisan advantages, something deeper is working in Trump’s favor, something that he shrewdly read and exploited during the campaign. The democratic institutions that held Nixon to account have lost their strength since the nineteen-seventies—eroded from within by poor leaders and loss of nerve, undermined from without by popular distrust. Bipartisan congressional action on behalf of the public good sounds as quaint as antenna TV. The press is reviled, financially desperate, and undergoing a crisis of faith about the very efficacy of gathering facts. And public opinion? Strictly speaking, it no longer exists. “All right we are two nations,” John Dos Passos wrote, in his “U.S.A.” trilogy.
Among the institutions in decline are the political parties. This, too, was both intuited and accelerated by Trump. In succession, he crushed two party establishments and ended two dynasties. The Democratic Party claims half the country, but it’s hollowed out at the core. Hillary Clinton became the sixth Democratic Presidential candidate in the past seven elections to win the popular vote; yet during Barack Obama’s Presidency the Party lost both houses of Congress, fourteen governorships, and thirty state legislatures, comprising more than nine hundred seats. The Party’s leaders are all past the official retirement age, other than Obama, who has governed as the charismatic and enlightened head of an atrophying body. Did Democrats even notice? More than Republicans, they tend to turn out only when they’re inspired. The Party has allowed personality and demography to take the place of political organizing.
The immediate obstacle in Trump’s way will be New York’s Charles Schumer and his minority caucus of forty-eight senators. During Obama’s Presidency, Republican senators exploited ancient rules in order to put up massive resistance. Filibusters and holds became routine ways of taking budgets hostage and blocking appointments. Democratic senators can slow, though not stop, pieces of the Republican agenda if they find the nerve to behave like their nihilistic opponents, further damaging the institution for short-term gain. It would be ugly, but the alternative seems like a sucker’s game.
In the long run, the Democratic Party faces two choices. It can continue to collapse until it’s transformed into something new, like the nineteenth-century Whigs, forerunners of the Republican Party. Or it can rebuild itself from the ground up. Not every four years but continuously; not with celebrity endorsements but on school boards and town councils; not by creating more virtual echo chambers but by learning again how to talk and listen to other Americans, especially those who elected Trump because they felt ignored and left behind. President Trump is almost certain to betray them. The country will need an opposition capable of pointing that out.
George Packer (Togot 1982-83) became a staff writer in 2003 for The New Yorker. For the magazine, he has covered the Iraq War, and has also written about the atrocities committed in Sierra Leone, civil unrest in the Ivory Coast, the megacity of Lagos, and the global counterinsurgency. In 2003, two of his New Yorker articles won Overseas Press Club awards—one for his examination of the difficulties faced during the occupation and reconstruction of Iraq, and one for his coverage of the civil war in Sierra Leone. His book The Assassins’ Gate: America in Iraq was named one of the ten best books of 2005 by the New York Times and won the New York Public Library’s Helen Bernstein Book Award and an Overseas Press Club book award. He is also the author of The Village of Waiting, about his experience as a Peace Corps volunteer in Africa, and Blood of the Liberals, a three-generational nonfiction history of his family and American liberalism in the twentieth century, which won the Robert F. Kennedy Book Award; in addition, he has written two novels, The Half Man and Central Square. He has contributed numerous articles, essays, and reviews to the New York Times Magazine, Dissent, Mother Jones, Harper’s, and other publications. He was a Guggenheim Fellow in 2001-02, and has taught writing at Harvard, Bennington, and Columbia. His most recent book is The Unwinding: An Inner History of the New America.
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George Packer and Peter Hessler provide an excellent analysis of what I have seen in Colorado, living in Denver, cattycorner from Ouray. I also remember well the Watergate scandal. In 1972, the Democratic ticket was war hero George McGovern, turned peace advocate, and Peace Corps former Director Sargent Shriver. Nixon had eliminated the draft and it was the first year that 18 year olds could vote. The result? Nixon swept the nation, taking every single state from the Democrats except Massachusetts and the District of Columbia. The Democrats did maintain control of the House and the Senate. The citizens of the District of Columbia had two civic responsibilities; voting in a Presidential election and sitting on Grand Juries. It was the District of Columbia Grand Jury that issued the True Bill in the Watergate Breakin and the Democratic House of Representatives that would have issued the Impeachment charges and the Democratic Senate would have convicted Nixon, I believe. The little power that the Democrats did retain saved the Republic, I believe.
Right now, the Democrats have no real power left. In Denver, after 2008, the Colorado Democratic party was in disarray because it had gone for Hillary, as had most state
Parties. Obama made a strategic decision not to attempt to rebuild the state Democratic parties, but to create a national political organization, Organizing for America, loyal only to him. The result, the Republicans took over state legislatures in 2010 and redistricted so that the House of Representatives will be Republican in the foreseeable future. In 2012, OFA showed up and dictated to Democratic party officials what to do. Local parties had no authority at all, everything had to be “passed up the line for approval.”
Obama did win the election. Then he changed the OFA from a political organization to a non-political lobbying organization. It disappeared. In 2014, Democrats lost the Senate. Now, Republicans control the vast majority of state legislatures and governorships, as well as the Federal government. The outcome of this election was predictable.
I think that talk radio, its hosts and callers, were a significant force for the Trump victory. I suspect that whenever Trump needs to influence Congress, the talk show hot line will bombard Congress.
I cannot see anyway that the Democrats can recover. I hope I am wrong.